Missouri vs UCF 9/29/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Missouri winning 55% of simulations, and UCF 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Missouri commits fewer turnovers in 40% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. UCF wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kendial Lawrence is averaging 54 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Storm Johnson is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCF +0

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